Law and Public Health Lecture: 3rd October 2018 – Population and Labour Force Prospects for Australia
4-5:30pm, Wed 3rd October 2018
Theatre 2, Alan Gilbert Building, 161 Barry Street, Carlton
Presenter: Professor Peter McDonald – Chief Investigator of the Australian Research Council’s Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research. From 1995 to 2016, he was Professor of Demography at the Australian National University.
Australia’s Permanent Migration planning level has remained unchanged for the past eight years under both Labor and Coalition Governments. This planning level is based on the impact that immigration has on the ageing of the population and, hence, on GDP per capita. At the same time, the migration intake needs to be consistent with short and medium-term labour demand. For the past eight years, governments have been satisfied that this has been the case. While temporary migration moves annual net migration up and down, it is the permanent programme that sets the longer-term future. From the perspective of labour demand, the argument is strong that present levels of immigration need to be maintained in the medium term. This implies continued rapid growth in the three largest cities. The presentation documents these facts and arguments including discussion of whether alternative settlement patterns are possible.
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