3:00-4:00pm, Mon 15th April 2019
Lecture Theatre 1, Level B1, 207 Bouverie Street, Carlton
Professor Christopher Murray, Institute Director, Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME); Professor and Chair of Health Metrics Sciences, University of Washington
The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) is the largest and most comprehensive effort to date to measure epidemiological levels and trends worldwide. This project draws upon the efforts of a multitude of people, including more than 3,585 experts from 143 countries and 2 territories. This presentation will focus on IHME’s developments in disease demography forecasting through 2100, leveraging results from the GBD 2017 study. This will include an overview of the methods used to generate long-term projections, including plausible better and worse scenarios and a comparison of the methods and results from other agencies such as the United Nations Population Division and the Wittgenstein Centre.